First Day Filing Review

Senate 14 (0.00 / 0)

5 candidates have filed, and I'm hearing a sixth will surface by the last day of filing.  

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by: Clark @ Tue Feb 23, 2010 at 23:47:18 PM UTC

Another case of *IOKIYAR (0.00 / 0)

Given right wingnuttia's vapors over what is considered orthodoxy when it comes to patriotism and patriotic displays, the irony of Kristi Nichols (r) photograph is probably completely missing in her perception. From the Congressional Research Service [pdf]:

(CRS-7)...(g) The flag should never have placed upon it, nor on any part of it, nor attached to it any mark, insignia, letter, word, figure, design, picture, or drawing of any nature...

Yeah, okay, they also point this out:

...no federal agency has the authority to issue "official" rulings legally binding on civilians or civilian groups...

Text on the flag from a photograph on Kristi Nichols (r) U.S. Senate campaign web site.

As for a definition of right wingnuttia?:

...I am in favor of the "Fair Tax" which would eliminate the IRS and tax all consumers only on new purchases.   The fair tax lets consumers determine their tax rate based on their consumption levels...

I believe RBH has finally found a republican U.S. Senate primary candidate worthy of a crossover vote.

* it's okay if you're a republican

543,895 votes

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by: Michael Bersin @ Wed Feb 24, 2010 at 00:23:43 AM UTC

ha (0.00 / 0)

I have the luck of living in a land where there'll be competitive Democratic primaries to vote in. Anyways, it's more helpful for Roy Blunt to win, what would we all do with the printed stuff on Roy Blunt if someone else won the nod? Nobody needs that much scratch paper.

I do know the daughter of one of the more obscure Republican candidates. It's almost like knowing an elected official, only i've never met that person and she won't win.

Also didn't realize that Mike Wagner was already up for re-election. Guess that happens when judges keep moving into other jobs before the six years are up. He was one of the more interesting candidates I met down there in 2008.

Hailing from the land of milk, honey, and Democrats

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by: RBH @ Wed Feb 24, 2010 at 00:38:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

State Senate updates (0.00 / 0)

State Senate

Dem-Held: SD4 (Keaveny), SD10 (Justus), SD16 (Barnitz v. freshman Rep. Dan Brown), SD18 (Shoemyer v. termed-out Rep. Munzlinger), SD22 (McKenna)
Rep-Held: SD2 (Rupp v. Cynthia Davis), SD12 (Lager),
Open: SD6 (4 Repubs), SD8 (3 Repubs), SD14 (4 Dems), SD20 (Repub Jay Wesson and Dem Terry Traw), SD24 (3 Dems and Repub John Lamping), SD26 (3 Repubs and George Weber), SD28 (3 Repubs and a Constitution Party dude), SD30 (Michael Hoeman (D) and Bob Dixon (R)), SD32 (Ron Richard) and SD34 (Martin Rucker (D) and Rob Schaaf (R))

That's 10 open seats. So it'd take one sad effort to lose even more seats in the Senate in this election.

As for the State House... by my count, 52 of 163 seats are open due to Term Limits. No word on if my count is 100% accurate. But I am not counting a few seats opened by resigning Reps as termed out seats.

Clint Tracy (R-158th) is running for presiding commissioner of Cape Girardeau County after 1 term in the state House.

Kenny Jones is running for the Senate (and his son is running for the House against Constitution Party candidate Jacob Luetkemeyer). The Constitution Party has candidates in the 116th (Ray Herron), 117th (Luetkemeyer), 118th (Curtis Shipman), 119th (Raymond Kish) and 120th (Richard Hoxsey). Hopefully one of the Warrensburg resident Ron Paul supporters will run with one of the two third parties.

And my district has a Constitution Party dude running too. Lucky me.

Hailing from the land of milk, honey, and Democrats

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by: RBH @ Wed Feb 24, 2010 at 01:07:38 AM UTC

State House scorecard numbers (0.00 / 0)

88 Reps, 74 Dems, 1 open seat
113 seats have a Rep candidate, 110 seats have a Dem candidate (the 2008 totals were 136 seats with a Dem candidate and 115 seats with a Rep candidate)
63 open seats (40 Rep, 23 Dem)
21 of 40 Rep open seats not yet contested by Dems (most in SW MO)
20 seats have 2 or more Dem candidates
37 seats have 2 or more Rep candidates

Districts without a Dem filing on 2/23 which had a Dem in 2008: 3rd (Guernsey), 4th (Thomson), 7th (Lair), 16th (Parkinson), 20th (Riddle), 22nd (open), 34th (Flook), 47th (Grisamore), 62nd (had a candidate in 08, no candidate in 2010 special election), 86th (McNary), 87th (Diehl), 89th (Jones), 92nd (Allen) 93rd (Scharnhorst), 95th (Leara), 99th (open), 109th (Dieckhaus), 113th (open), 114th (open), 125th (Fisher), 126th (open), 132nd (Ruzicka), 135th (Denison), 139th (Schoeller), 141st (open), 143rd (open), 144th (Dugger), 149th (open), 150th (Smith), 156th (Keeney)

It'd be easier to list the districts with no Dem in 2008 and no Dem filing on 2/23/2010

68th (Sater), 84th (open), 88th (Koenig), 106th (Air Tilley), 115th through 117th (Schad, open, open), 127th through 131 (Flanigan, open, open, open, open), 133rd & 134th (open and open), 142nd (Weter), 145th through 148th (open, Pollock, Wells, Day), 151th (open), 157th (open), 158th (open), and 160th (Brandom). Which is 23 seats by my count.

The 4 seats uncontested by Dems in 2008 and already contested are the 119th (open), 140th (open), 153th (open), and 154th (open). Seems to have a common thread. Which should be encouraging for getting close to the 136 seats contested that occurred in 2008.

The current makeup of the House
52 Seniors (termed out members)
34 Juniors (3 terms, will be termed out after 2012)
28 Sophomores (2 terms, termed out after 2014)
48 Freshmen (termed out after 2016)
1 open chair

7 Juniors are dropping out to pursue various things, 3 Freshmen are also opening their seats up (Calloway and Brown running for the Senate, Tracy running for CapeCo Presiding Commissioner). So the number of legislators termed out after 2018 will be huge.

Over/under for 2/24 filings. I think 15 is a good number. There's just not a lot of activity outside of Congressmen who didn't file and assorted random people. There's still a month left here.

Hailing from the land of milk, honey, and Democrats

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by: RBH @ Wed Feb 24, 2010 at 08:07:03 AM UTC